Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather project Ankara’s August 14 high near 28–29°C under typical continental summer conditions of clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. This aligns with historical August averages of 29–32°C while avoiding recent heatwave patterns seen earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C reflects consensus in numerical weather prediction runs showing limited diurnal warming and no strong advection of hotter air masses. Updated model outputs and any observed temperature anomalies tomorrow morning will determine final resolution, with traders closely monitoring short-range guidance for shifts above or below the 27–29°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 14?
28°C 64%
29°C 22%
27°C 15%
30°C <1%
NEW
$17,471 Vol.
NEW
$17,471 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
15%
28°C
64%
29°C
22%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 64%
29°C 22%
27°C 15%
30°C <1%
NEW
$17,471 Vol.
NEW
$17,471 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$1,957 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,630 Vol.
15%
28°C
$3,450 Vol.
64%
29°C
$2,948 Vol.
22%
30°C
$1,435 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,444 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather project Ankara’s August 14 high near 28–29°C under typical continental summer conditions of clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. This aligns with historical August averages of 29–32°C while avoiding recent heatwave patterns seen earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C reflects consensus in numerical weather prediction runs showing limited diurnal warming and no strong advection of hotter air masses. Updated model outputs and any observed temperature anomalies tomorrow morning will determine final resolution, with traders closely monitoring short-range guidance for shifts above or below the 27–29°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,471End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather project Ankara’s August 14 high near 28–29°C under typical continental summer conditions of clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. This aligns with historical August averages of 29–32°C while avoiding recent heatwave patterns seen earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C reflects consensus in numerical weather prediction runs showing limited diurnal warming and no strong advection of hotter air masses. Updated model outputs and any observed temperature anomalies tomorrow morning will determine final resolution, with traders closely monitoring short-range guidance for shifts above or below the 27–29°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,471End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather project Ankara’s August 14 high near 28–29°C under typical continental summer conditions of clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity. This aligns with historical August averages of 29–32°C while avoiding recent heatwave patterns seen earlier in the season. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C reflects consensus in numerical weather prediction runs showing limited diurnal warming and no strong advection of hotter air masses. Updated model outputs and any observed temperature anomalies tomorrow morning will determine final resolution, with traders closely monitoring short-range guidance for shifts above or below the 27–29°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions