Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily high near 31°C on August 13 under predominantly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Stable high-pressure patterns and seasonal August climatology—where average highs hover around 30–31°C—support this range, while minor model spread accounts for the secondary weighting toward 30°C and 32°C. No significant frontal systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent runs to shift the consensus, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around observed recent daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
31°C 43%
32°C 24%
30°C 24%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
43%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
32°C 24%
30°C 24%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$17 Vol.
4%
29°C
$10 Vol.
10%
30°C
$68 Vol.
24%
31°C
$911 Vol.
43%
32°C
$18 Vol.
24%
33°C
$16 Vol.
4%
34°C
$28 Vol.
2%
35°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily high near 31°C on August 13 under predominantly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Stable high-pressure patterns and seasonal August climatology—where average highs hover around 30–31°C—support this range, while minor model spread accounts for the secondary weighting toward 30°C and 32°C. No significant frontal systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent runs to shift the consensus, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around observed recent daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,128End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily high near 31°C on August 13 under predominantly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Stable high-pressure patterns and seasonal August climatology—where average highs hover around 30–31°C—support this range, while minor model spread accounts for the secondary weighting toward 30°C and 32°C. No significant frontal systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent runs to shift the consensus, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around observed recent daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,128End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily high near 31°C on August 13 under predominantly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 42.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Stable high-pressure patterns and seasonal August climatology—where average highs hover around 30–31°C—support this range, while minor model spread accounts for the secondary weighting toward 30°C and 32°C. No significant frontal systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent runs to shift the consensus, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around observed recent daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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