Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon drive typical August daily maxima near 31°C, yet the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier, fair, and occasionally windy conditions through mid-August has lifted near-term expectations. Recent observations show peaks reaching 33.4°C, with model guidance for 11 August clustering around 31–32°C amid modest variability in cloud cover and wind. These factors concentrate market-implied odds on 32°C and 33°C while capping probabilities for 34°C or higher, as sustained clear skies and reduced rainfall would be required to exceed the current consensus range. Updated National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service Singapore briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 11?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 11?
32°C 52%
33°C 35%
31°C 10%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
52%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
33°C 35%
31°C 10%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$137 Vol.
1%
30°C
$43 Vol.
2%
31°C
$179 Vol.
10%
32°C
$742 Vol.
52%
33°C
$257 Vol.
35%
34°C
$297 Vol.
5%
35°C
$76 Vol.
1%
36°C
$172 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon drive typical August daily maxima near 31°C, yet the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier, fair, and occasionally windy conditions through mid-August has lifted near-term expectations. Recent observations show peaks reaching 33.4°C, with model guidance for 11 August clustering around 31–32°C amid modest variability in cloud cover and wind. These factors concentrate market-implied odds on 32°C and 33°C while capping probabilities for 34°C or higher, as sustained clear skies and reduced rainfall would be required to exceed the current consensus range. Updated National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service Singapore briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,648End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon drive typical August daily maxima near 31°C, yet the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier, fair, and occasionally windy conditions through mid-August has lifted near-term expectations. Recent observations show peaks reaching 33.4°C, with model guidance for 11 August clustering around 31–32°C amid modest variability in cloud cover and wind. These factors concentrate market-implied odds on 32°C and 33°C while capping probabilities for 34°C or higher, as sustained clear skies and reduced rainfall would be required to exceed the current consensus range. Updated National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service Singapore briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,648End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon drive typical August daily maxima near 31°C, yet the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier, fair, and occasionally windy conditions through mid-August has lifted near-term expectations. Recent observations show peaks reaching 33.4°C, with model guidance for 11 August clustering around 31–32°C amid modest variability in cloud cover and wind. These factors concentrate market-implied odds on 32°C and 33°C while capping probabilities for 34°C or higher, as sustained clear skies and reduced rainfall would be required to exceed the current consensus range. Updated National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service Singapore briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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