Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models converge on maximum temperatures of 28–31°C in Amsterdam on August 9, 2026, driven by high pressure promoting sunny conditions and warm southerly flow amid above-average late-summer patterns. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 28°C (27%) and 29°C (37%), as ensemble guidance shows limited spread two days out and minimal risk of significant cooling or intensification. Early August heat reaching 33°C has transitioned to more moderate but still elevated readings, consistent with climatological baselines near 21–22°C being exceeded under clear skies and light winds. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 9?
29°C 37%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
12%
28°C
27%
29°C
37%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
25°C
$12 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$50 Vol.
37%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
32°C
$16 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models converge on maximum temperatures of 28–31°C in Amsterdam on August 9, 2026, driven by high pressure promoting sunny conditions and warm southerly flow amid above-average late-summer patterns. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 28°C (27%) and 29°C (37%), as ensemble guidance shows limited spread two days out and minimal risk of significant cooling or intensification. Early August heat reaching 33°C has transitioned to more moderate but still elevated readings, consistent with climatological baselines near 21–22°C being exceeded under clear skies and light winds. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$114End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models converge on maximum temperatures of 28–31°C in Amsterdam on August 9, 2026, driven by high pressure promoting sunny conditions and warm southerly flow amid above-average late-summer patterns. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 28°C (27%) and 29°C (37%), as ensemble guidance shows limited spread two days out and minimal risk of significant cooling or intensification. Early August heat reaching 33°C has transitioned to more moderate but still elevated readings, consistent with climatological baselines near 21–22°C being exceeded under clear skies and light winds. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models converge on maximum temperatures of 28–31°C in Amsterdam on August 9, 2026, driven by high pressure promoting sunny conditions and warm southerly flow amid above-average late-summer patterns. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 28°C (27%) and 29°C (37%), as ensemble guidance shows limited spread two days out and minimal risk of significant cooling or intensification. Early August heat reaching 33°C has transitioned to more moderate but still elevated readings, consistent with climatological baselines near 21–22°C being exceeded under clear skies and light winds. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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