Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
37°C 14.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
25%
37°C
14%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
37°C 14.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$130 Vol.
1%
32°C
$66 Vol.
2%
33°C
$112 Vol.
4%
34°C
$38 Vol.
25%
35°C
$62 Vol.
32%
36°C
$46 Vol.
25%
37°C
$65 Vol.
14%
38°C
$1 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,463End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,463End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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