The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for August 5, 2026, projects a Tokyo maximum of 30°C under initially clear skies giving way to afternoon cloud cover, which has anchored overwhelming trader consensus on that precise outcome. Moderate Pacific high pressure and seasonal subtropical humidity support typical August peaks near 31–32°C, yet the day's steering pattern and limited solar heating keep readings from exceeding the 30°C threshold according to updated model runs and morning observations. Real-time data releases from monitoring stations reinforce this narrow band, while historical climatology shows such days can resolve near or just below normal without major deviations. An unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger insolation could realistically push the high to 31°C or above before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
30°C 99.7%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$81,443 Vol.
$81,443 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.7%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$81,443 Vol.
$81,443 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
$744 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,338 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,665 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21,920 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,763 Vol.
100%
31°C
$7,232 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,571 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,185 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,067 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$5,542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for August 5, 2026, projects a Tokyo maximum of 30°C under initially clear skies giving way to afternoon cloud cover, which has anchored overwhelming trader consensus on that precise outcome. Moderate Pacific high pressure and seasonal subtropical humidity support typical August peaks near 31–32°C, yet the day's steering pattern and limited solar heating keep readings from exceeding the 30°C threshold according to updated model runs and morning observations. Real-time data releases from monitoring stations reinforce this narrow band, while historical climatology shows such days can resolve near or just below normal without major deviations. An unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger insolation could realistically push the high to 31°C or above before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$81,443End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for August 5, 2026, projects a Tokyo maximum of 30°C under initially clear skies giving way to afternoon cloud cover, which has anchored overwhelming trader consensus on that precise outcome. Moderate Pacific high pressure and seasonal subtropical humidity support typical August peaks near 31–32°C, yet the day's steering pattern and limited solar heating keep readings from exceeding the 30°C threshold according to updated model runs and morning observations. Real-time data releases from monitoring stations reinforce this narrow band, while historical climatology shows such days can resolve near or just below normal without major deviations. An unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger insolation could realistically push the high to 31°C or above before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,443End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for August 5, 2026, projects a Tokyo maximum of 30°C under initially clear skies giving way to afternoon cloud cover, which has anchored overwhelming trader consensus on that precise outcome. Moderate Pacific high pressure and seasonal subtropical humidity support typical August peaks near 31–32°C, yet the day's steering pattern and limited solar heating keep readings from exceeding the 30°C threshold according to updated model runs and morning observations. Real-time data releases from monitoring stations reinforce this narrow band, while historical climatology shows such days can resolve near or just below normal without major deviations. An unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger insolation could realistically push the high to 31°C or above before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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