Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32°C under typical summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible morning showers that limit further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of roughly 32°C highs and recent observational trends showing stable temperatures in the low 30s without significant heatwave drivers or typhoon influences. Trader consensus, reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical climatology while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized cloud cover, precipitation timing, or late forecast adjustments that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
32°C 99.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$94,051 Vol.
$94,051 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$94,051 Vol.
$94,051 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$570 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,921 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,738 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,856 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,771 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,646 Vol.
99%
33°C
$9,438 Vol.
1%
34°C
$7,510 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$10,494 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$10,519 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,590 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32°C under typical summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible morning showers that limit further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of roughly 32°C highs and recent observational trends showing stable temperatures in the low 30s without significant heatwave drivers or typhoon influences. Trader consensus, reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical climatology while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized cloud cover, precipitation timing, or late forecast adjustments that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$94,051End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32°C under typical summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible morning showers that limit further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of roughly 32°C highs and recent observational trends showing stable temperatures in the low 30s without significant heatwave drivers or typhoon influences. Trader consensus, reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical climatology while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized cloud cover, precipitation timing, or late forecast adjustments that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94,051End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32°C under typical summer subtropical conditions, with light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible morning showers that limit further warming. This aligns with long-term August averages of roughly 32°C highs and recent observational trends showing stable temperatures in the low 30s without significant heatwave drivers or typhoon influences. Trader consensus, reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical climatology while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized cloud cover, precipitation timing, or late forecast adjustments that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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