Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate afternoon maxima near 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 5 under hazy or overcast skies with isolated thundery showers, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes. In Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover typically suppress peaks below historical August extremes that can exceed 40°C, while weak steering patterns and regional moisture limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency with no strong heat dome or clear-sky conditions that would favor 39°C or higher, though minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities within the narrow 37–38°C range before official observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 5?
38°C 60%
37°C 38%
39°C 1.5%
40°C or higher <1%
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
38%
38°C
60%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
38°C 60%
37°C 38%
39°C 1.5%
40°C or higher <1%
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$363 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$828 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$627 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,807 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,947 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,050 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$6,828 Vol.
38%
38°C
$1,962 Vol.
60%
39°C
$2,182 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate afternoon maxima near 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 5 under hazy or overcast skies with isolated thundery showers, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes. In Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover typically suppress peaks below historical August extremes that can exceed 40°C, while weak steering patterns and regional moisture limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency with no strong heat dome or clear-sky conditions that would favor 39°C or higher, though minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities within the narrow 37–38°C range before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$24,753End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate afternoon maxima near 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 5 under hazy or overcast skies with isolated thundery showers, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes. In Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover typically suppress peaks below historical August extremes that can exceed 40°C, while weak steering patterns and regional moisture limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency with no strong heat dome or clear-sky conditions that would favor 39°C or higher, though minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities within the narrow 37–38°C range before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,753End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate afternoon maxima near 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 5 under hazy or overcast skies with isolated thundery showers, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes. In Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover typically suppress peaks below historical August extremes that can exceed 40°C, while weak steering patterns and regional moisture limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency with no strong heat dome or clear-sky conditions that would favor 39°C or higher, though minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities within the narrow 37–38°C range before official observations finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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