**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 36°C, with a narrow spread that keeps 37°C and 38°C as the closest market outcomes.** Afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered thunderstorms, and variable southerly flow are key variables that could suppress or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official guidance highlights moderate humidity and light winds, limiting extreme outliers while the urban heat island effect supports readings at or above the 35–37°C range typical for early August. Ensemble disagreement on convective timing creates the tight 36.5–32.5% split between the leading bins, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly peak recorded at the primary Beijing station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
39°C 11%
36°C 9%
NEW
$21,107 Vol.
NEW
$21,107 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
37%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C or higher
1%
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
39°C 11%
36°C 9%
NEW
$21,107 Vol.
NEW
$21,107 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$343 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,407 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,631 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,148 Vol.
3%
36°C
$6,820 Vol.
9%
37°C
$4,097 Vol.
37%
38°C
$2,088 Vol.
33%
39°C
$1,400 Vol.
11%
40°C or higher
$1,391 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 36°C, with a narrow spread that keeps 37°C and 38°C as the closest market outcomes.** Afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered thunderstorms, and variable southerly flow are key variables that could suppress or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official guidance highlights moderate humidity and light winds, limiting extreme outliers while the urban heat island effect supports readings at or above the 35–37°C range typical for early August. Ensemble disagreement on convective timing creates the tight 36.5–32.5% split between the leading bins, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly peak recorded at the primary Beijing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$21,107End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 36°C, with a narrow spread that keeps 37°C and 38°C as the closest market outcomes.** Afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered thunderstorms, and variable southerly flow are key variables that could suppress or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official guidance highlights moderate humidity and light winds, limiting extreme outliers while the urban heat island effect supports readings at or above the 35–37°C range typical for early August. Ensemble disagreement on convective timing creates the tight 36.5–32.5% split between the leading bins, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly peak recorded at the primary Beijing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,107End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 36°C, with a narrow spread that keeps 37°C and 38°C as the closest market outcomes.** Afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered thunderstorms, and variable southerly flow are key variables that could suppress or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official guidance highlights moderate humidity and light winds, limiting extreme outliers while the urban heat island effect supports readings at or above the 35–37°C range typical for early August. Ensemble disagreement on convective timing creates the tight 36.5–32.5% split between the leading bins, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly peak recorded at the primary Beijing station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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