Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC place Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, consistent with the strong market weighting toward 37 °C. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover have supported daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31 °C, while “feels-like” values reaching 37–38 °C reflect combined temperature and moisture effects that often align with official station maxima. Updated model runs show modest upward revisions in peak readings, keeping 37 °C the consensus outcome ahead of final observational data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
37°C 87%
38°C 15%
39°C or higher 1.1%
29°C or below <1%
$32,067 Vol.
$32,067 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
87%
38°C
15%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 87%
38°C 15%
39°C or higher 1.1%
29°C or below <1%
$32,067 Vol.
$32,067 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$308 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,393 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,106 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,182 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,947 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,465 Vol.
87%
38°C
$3,721 Vol.
15%
39°C or higher
$2,199 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC place Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, consistent with the strong market weighting toward 37 °C. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover have supported daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31 °C, while “feels-like” values reaching 37–38 °C reflect combined temperature and moisture effects that often align with official station maxima. Updated model runs show modest upward revisions in peak readings, keeping 37 °C the consensus outcome ahead of final observational data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$32,067End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC place Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, consistent with the strong market weighting toward 37 °C. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover have supported daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31 °C, while “feels-like” values reaching 37–38 °C reflect combined temperature and moisture effects that often align with official station maxima. Updated model runs show modest upward revisions in peak readings, keeping 37 °C the consensus outcome ahead of final observational data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,067End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC place Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers possible, consistent with the strong market weighting toward 37 °C. Persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited cloud cover have supported daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31 °C, while “feels-like” values reaching 37–38 °C reflect combined temperature and moisture effects that often align with official station maxima. Updated model runs show modest upward revisions in peak readings, keeping 37 °C the consensus outcome ahead of final observational data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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