Forecast models from agencies including the KNMI and ECMWF currently favor a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that advects cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting typical early-August conditions after the brief early-month warmth, with limited afternoon insolation and moderate boundary-layer mixing preventing stronger diurnal rises. The narrow spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes stems from minor uncertainties in cloud cover and exact wind direction that could add or subtract 1°C, while the low odds on 24°C+ or sub-20°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or blocking high that would produce outliers. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 7?
22°C 35%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
20°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
12%
22°C
35%
23°C
34%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
20°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$7 Vol.
10%
21°C
$128 Vol.
12%
22°C
$20 Vol.
35%
23°C
$28 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$15 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the KNMI and ECMWF currently favor a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that advects cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting typical early-August conditions after the brief early-month warmth, with limited afternoon insolation and moderate boundary-layer mixing preventing stronger diurnal rises. The narrow spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes stems from minor uncertainties in cloud cover and exact wind direction that could add or subtract 1°C, while the low odds on 24°C+ or sub-20°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or blocking high that would produce outliers. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$198End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the KNMI and ECMWF currently favor a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that advects cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting typical early-August conditions after the brief early-month warmth, with limited afternoon insolation and moderate boundary-layer mixing preventing stronger diurnal rises. The narrow spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes stems from minor uncertainties in cloud cover and exact wind direction that could add or subtract 1°C, while the low odds on 24°C+ or sub-20°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or blocking high that would produce outliers. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$198End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the KNMI and ECMWF currently favor a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that advects cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting typical early-August conditions after the brief early-month warmth, with limited afternoon insolation and moderate boundary-layer mixing preventing stronger diurnal rises. The narrow spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes stems from minor uncertainties in cloud cover and exact wind direction that could add or subtract 1°C, while the low odds on 24°C+ or sub-20°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or blocking high that would produce outliers. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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