Recent short-term forecasts from agencies and models project Jeddah's August 7 high near 37–39 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 38 °C (30%) and 39 °C (26%). Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location sustains high humidity and overnight lows near 30 °C, limiting nocturnal cooling while daytime sea breezes and subsidence patterns typically cap extremes below 40 °C in early August. Current model consensus shows minimal deviation from the 38 °C climatological average, with only modest day-to-day variability from steering winds or cloud cover. Updated numerical guidance and official Saudi observations on the day itself will determine the precise maximum, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to outcomes within 1 °C of recent runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 7?
38°C 30%
39°C 22%
36°C 17%
37°C 15%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
17%
37°C
15%
38°C
30%
39°C
22%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
11%
38°C 30%
39°C 22%
36°C 17%
37°C 15%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
17%
37°C
15%
38°C
30%
39°C
22%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies and models project Jeddah's August 7 high near 37–39 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 38 °C (30%) and 39 °C (26%). Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location sustains high humidity and overnight lows near 30 °C, limiting nocturnal cooling while daytime sea breezes and subsidence patterns typically cap extremes below 40 °C in early August. Current model consensus shows minimal deviation from the 38 °C climatological average, with only modest day-to-day variability from steering winds or cloud cover. Updated numerical guidance and official Saudi observations on the day itself will determine the precise maximum, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to outcomes within 1 °C of recent runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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