Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 5, aligning with the market's strong 69.7% implied probability for that outcome. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically moderates peak temperatures relative to inland Saudi sites, yielding historical early-August averages of 37–38°C under mostly sunny, low-precipitation conditions. Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance notes elevated regional heat but no extreme heatwave signals or atypical steering patterns for the Jeddah area that would push readings to 39°C or higher. Official station data will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 5?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 5?
37°C 84.7%
38°C 12%
39°C 2.2%
40°C or higher <1%
$33,092 Vol.
$33,092 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
85%
38°C
12%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
37°C 84.7%
38°C 12%
39°C 2.2%
40°C or higher <1%
$33,092 Vol.
$33,092 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$580 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,841 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,489 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,647 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,228 Vol.
85%
38°C
$5,347 Vol.
12%
39°C
$2,948 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$8,371 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 5, aligning with the market's strong 69.7% implied probability for that outcome. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically moderates peak temperatures relative to inland Saudi sites, yielding historical early-August averages of 37–38°C under mostly sunny, low-precipitation conditions. Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance notes elevated regional heat but no extreme heatwave signals or atypical steering patterns for the Jeddah area that would push readings to 39°C or higher. Official station data will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,092End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 5, aligning with the market's strong 69.7% implied probability for that outcome. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically moderates peak temperatures relative to inland Saudi sites, yielding historical early-August averages of 37–38°C under mostly sunny, low-precipitation conditions. Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance notes elevated regional heat but no extreme heatwave signals or atypical steering patterns for the Jeddah area that would push readings to 39°C or higher. Official station data will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,092End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 5, aligning with the market's strong 69.7% implied probability for that outcome. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting typically moderates peak temperatures relative to inland Saudi sites, yielding historical early-August averages of 37–38°C under mostly sunny, low-precipitation conditions. Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance notes elevated regional heat but no extreme heatwave signals or atypical steering patterns for the Jeddah area that would push readings to 39°C or higher. Official station data will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions