Current forecasts from meteorological models position Chongqing's maximum temperature for August 5 near 35°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Typical August conditions feature subtropical highs averaging 32–35°C, driven by regional atmospheric patterns that sustain heat and humidity, with historical observations frequently recording peaks in this range. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration tracks daily maxima at standardized stations, providing the resolution benchmark. While strong model agreement supports this level, shifts in local steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or heavier precipitation could realistically lower readings into the 33–34°C range, though such deviations appear unlikely based on the latest data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 5?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,737 Vol.
$56,737 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,737 Vol.
$56,737 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models position Chongqing's maximum temperature for August 5 near 35°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Typical August conditions feature subtropical highs averaging 32–35°C, driven by regional atmospheric patterns that sustain heat and humidity, with historical observations frequently recording peaks in this range. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration tracks daily maxima at standardized stations, providing the resolution benchmark. While strong model agreement supports this level, shifts in local steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or heavier precipitation could realistically lower readings into the 33–34°C range, though such deviations appear unlikely based on the latest data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions