The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
33°C 34%
34°C 32%
35°C 17%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
34%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
34°C 32%
35°C 17%
32°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$89 Vol.
3%
32°C
$62 Vol.
11%
33°C
$379 Vol.
34%
34°C
$174 Vol.
32%
35°C
$116 Vol.
17%
36°C
$154 Vol.
6%
37°C
$405 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,513End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,513End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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