Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing typical mid-summer conditions on August 6, with daytime highs shaped by subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and potential onshore flows moderating peaks near 32–34°C. Ongoing heat across eastern China has kept recent maxima in the mid-30s, yet models suggest a slight dip or stabilization from cloudiness and scattered precipitation, aligning trader consensus with 33°C as the mode outcome. Historical August baselines average around 31–32°C, while urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral patterns add minor upward bias without extreme anomalies. Short-term model updates over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze interactions and any frontal passages become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
33°C 47%
34°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 6%
NEW
$17,168 Vol.
NEW
$17,168 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
47%
34°C
31%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 6%
NEW
$17,168 Vol.
NEW
$17,168 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,014 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,333 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,605 Vol.
16%
33°C
$1,640 Vol.
47%
34°C
$3,296 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,044 Vol.
6%
36°C
$947 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$773 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing typical mid-summer conditions on August 6, with daytime highs shaped by subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and potential onshore flows moderating peaks near 32–34°C. Ongoing heat across eastern China has kept recent maxima in the mid-30s, yet models suggest a slight dip or stabilization from cloudiness and scattered precipitation, aligning trader consensus with 33°C as the mode outcome. Historical August baselines average around 31–32°C, while urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral patterns add minor upward bias without extreme anomalies. Short-term model updates over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze interactions and any frontal passages become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$17,168End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing typical mid-summer conditions on August 6, with daytime highs shaped by subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and potential onshore flows moderating peaks near 32–34°C. Ongoing heat across eastern China has kept recent maxima in the mid-30s, yet models suggest a slight dip or stabilization from cloudiness and scattered precipitation, aligning trader consensus with 33°C as the mode outcome. Historical August baselines average around 31–32°C, while urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral patterns add minor upward bias without extreme anomalies. Short-term model updates over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze interactions and any frontal passages become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,168End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing typical mid-summer conditions on August 6, with daytime highs shaped by subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and potential onshore flows moderating peaks near 32–34°C. Ongoing heat across eastern China has kept recent maxima in the mid-30s, yet models suggest a slight dip or stabilization from cloudiness and scattered precipitation, aligning trader consensus with 33°C as the mode outcome. Historical August baselines average around 31–32°C, while urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral patterns add minor upward bias without extreme anomalies. Short-term model updates over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze interactions and any frontal passages become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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