Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and light rain or overcast skies that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (49.5%) and 27°C (32%), reflecting the typical August climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C but recent warm-air advection and post-storm moisture from early August have kept readings elevated. Cloud cover and weak steering winds further suppress drops below 26°C while capping any spike above 29°C, leaving lower-probability outcomes dependent on unexpected clear skies or a passing front. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 50%
27°C 32%
29°C 18%
26°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
32%
28°C
50%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
27°C 32%
29°C 18%
26°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$57 Vol.
1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
2%
26°C
$83 Vol.
4%
27°C
$351 Vol.
32%
28°C
$633 Vol.
50%
29°C
$493 Vol.
18%
30°C
$57 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and light rain or overcast skies that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (49.5%) and 27°C (32%), reflecting the typical August climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C but recent warm-air advection and post-storm moisture from early August have kept readings elevated. Cloud cover and weak steering winds further suppress drops below 26°C while capping any spike above 29°C, leaving lower-probability outcomes dependent on unexpected clear skies or a passing front. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,739End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and light rain or overcast skies that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (49.5%) and 27°C (32%), reflecting the typical August climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C but recent warm-air advection and post-storm moisture from early August have kept readings elevated. Cloud cover and weak steering winds further suppress drops below 26°C while capping any spike above 29°C, leaving lower-probability outcomes dependent on unexpected clear skies or a passing front. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,739End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and light rain or overcast skies that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (49.5%) and 27°C (32%), reflecting the typical August climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C but recent warm-air advection and post-storm moisture from early August have kept readings elevated. Cloud cover and weak steering winds further suppress drops below 26°C while capping any spike above 29°C, leaving lower-probability outcomes dependent on unexpected clear skies or a passing front. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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