Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate place Shanghai’s overnight minimum near 27°C under typical August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with long-term climatological baselines showing August lows of 25–28°C absent major frontal systems. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 27°C reflects these stable model outputs and the absence of recent developments—such as typhoon approaches or anomalous high-pressure ridges—that could shift temperatures. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected influx of cooler maritime air could push the minimum lower, though official guidance shows low probability of such changes before daily resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
27°C 99%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,684 Vol.
$33,684 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,684 Vol.
$33,684 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,672 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,142 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,750 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,901 Vol.
1%
27°C
$4,635 Vol.
99%
28°C
$3,587 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,246 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,871 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate place Shanghai’s overnight minimum near 27°C under typical August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with long-term climatological baselines showing August lows of 25–28°C absent major frontal systems. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 27°C reflects these stable model outputs and the absence of recent developments—such as typhoon approaches or anomalous high-pressure ridges—that could shift temperatures. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected influx of cooler maritime air could push the minimum lower, though official guidance shows low probability of such changes before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$33,684End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate place Shanghai’s overnight minimum near 27°C under typical August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with long-term climatological baselines showing August lows of 25–28°C absent major frontal systems. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 27°C reflects these stable model outputs and the absence of recent developments—such as typhoon approaches or anomalous high-pressure ridges—that could shift temperatures. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected influx of cooler maritime air could push the minimum lower, though official guidance shows low probability of such changes before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,684End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate place Shanghai’s overnight minimum near 27°C under typical August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with long-term climatological baselines showing August lows of 25–28°C absent major frontal systems. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 27°C reflects these stable model outputs and the absence of recent developments—such as typhoon approaches or anomalous high-pressure ridges—that could shift temperatures. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected influx of cooler maritime air could push the minimum lower, though official guidance shows low probability of such changes before daily resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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