Singapore's meteorological outlook for August 5, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall, supports a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant resolution scenario. Official guidance and ensemble models show typical equatorial instability with afternoon thundery showers limiting peak heating, consistent with the 31°C long-term August average high while accounting for recent warmer tendencies. The 95% market-implied odds for 32°C reflect trader confidence in these stable patterns and historical precedents where extremes above 33°C remain infrequent without strong subsidence. A shift in cloud cover, reduced shower activity, or localized wind changes could realistically allow 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such outcomes before official final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 5?
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$38,560 Vol.
$38,560 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$38,560 Vol.
$38,560 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$704 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$904 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,119 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,334 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,160 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,881 Vol.
95%
33°C
$8,595 Vol.
6%
34°C
$3,638 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,669 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$900 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$729 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's meteorological outlook for August 5, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall, supports a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant resolution scenario. Official guidance and ensemble models show typical equatorial instability with afternoon thundery showers limiting peak heating, consistent with the 31°C long-term August average high while accounting for recent warmer tendencies. The 95% market-implied odds for 32°C reflect trader confidence in these stable patterns and historical precedents where extremes above 33°C remain infrequent without strong subsidence. A shift in cloud cover, reduced shower activity, or localized wind changes could realistically allow 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such outcomes before official final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$38,560End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's meteorological outlook for August 5, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall, supports a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant resolution scenario. Official guidance and ensemble models show typical equatorial instability with afternoon thundery showers limiting peak heating, consistent with the 31°C long-term August average high while accounting for recent warmer tendencies. The 95% market-implied odds for 32°C reflect trader confidence in these stable patterns and historical precedents where extremes above 33°C remain infrequent without strong subsidence. A shift in cloud cover, reduced shower activity, or localized wind changes could realistically allow 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such outcomes before official final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,560End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's meteorological outlook for August 5, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall, supports a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant resolution scenario. Official guidance and ensemble models show typical equatorial instability with afternoon thundery showers limiting peak heating, consistent with the 31°C long-term August average high while accounting for recent warmer tendencies. The 95% market-implied odds for 32°C reflect trader confidence in these stable patterns and historical precedents where extremes above 33°C remain infrequent without strong subsidence. A shift in cloud cover, reduced shower activity, or localized wind changes could realistically allow 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such outcomes before official final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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