Singapore's National Environment Agency outlook for early August 2026 highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall, supporting daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through localized fair and occasionally windy periods. These factors favor the closely matched 32 °C (43.5 %) and 33 °C (41.5 %) outcomes, as reduced cloud cover and subsidence can enhance surface heating while scattered afternoon thundery showers introduce variability in peak readings. Model consensus and historical analogs under similar monsoon patterns show modest day-to-day fluctuations around the 31–34 °C range, with an El Niño background contributing to slightly elevated baseline temperatures. Updated NEA forecasts and real-time observations in the next 48 hours will refine the distinction between these two leading resolutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 7?
32°C 44%
33°C 42%
31°C 9%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
44%
33°C
42%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 42%
31°C 9%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
44%
33°C
42%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency outlook for early August 2026 highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall, supporting daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through localized fair and occasionally windy periods. These factors favor the closely matched 32 °C (43.5 %) and 33 °C (41.5 %) outcomes, as reduced cloud cover and subsidence can enhance surface heating while scattered afternoon thundery showers introduce variability in peak readings. Model consensus and historical analogs under similar monsoon patterns show modest day-to-day fluctuations around the 31–34 °C range, with an El Niño background contributing to slightly elevated baseline temperatures. Updated NEA forecasts and real-time observations in the next 48 hours will refine the distinction between these two leading resolutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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