Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 7?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 7?
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C
$13 Vol.
2%
16°C
$20 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$56 Vol.
38%
20°C
$5 Vol.
19%
21°C
$20 Vol.
5%
22°C
$30 Vol.
3%
23°C
$35 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$193End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$193End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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