Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Wuhan on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light showers and moderate northerly flow. Trader sentiment favoring 37°C or 38°C likely reflects ensemble model spreads, urban heat-island amplification in the Yangtze River valley, and historical August extremes that occasionally exceed climatological averages of 31–35°C. Differentiation between these thresholds hinges on variables such as boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and diurnal heating rates, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C; ongoing model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation will determine whether the market resolves toward the current consensus or higher outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 7?
37°C 36%
38°C 30%
36°C 19%
40°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
19%
37°C
36%
38°C
30%
39°C
10%
40°C
15%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
37°C 36%
38°C 30%
36°C 19%
40°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
32°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C
$68 Vol.
4%
35°C
$29 Vol.
6%
36°C
$50 Vol.
19%
37°C
$44 Vol.
36%
38°C
$46 Vol.
30%
39°C
$20 Vol.
10%
40°C
$24 Vol.
15%
41°C
$0 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Wuhan on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light showers and moderate northerly flow. Trader sentiment favoring 37°C or 38°C likely reflects ensemble model spreads, urban heat-island amplification in the Yangtze River valley, and historical August extremes that occasionally exceed climatological averages of 31–35°C. Differentiation between these thresholds hinges on variables such as boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and diurnal heating rates, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C; ongoing model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation will determine whether the market resolves toward the current consensus or higher outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$281End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Wuhan on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light showers and moderate northerly flow. Trader sentiment favoring 37°C or 38°C likely reflects ensemble model spreads, urban heat-island amplification in the Yangtze River valley, and historical August extremes that occasionally exceed climatological averages of 31–35°C. Differentiation between these thresholds hinges on variables such as boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and diurnal heating rates, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C; ongoing model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation will determine whether the market resolves toward the current consensus or higher outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$281End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Wuhan on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light showers and moderate northerly flow. Trader sentiment favoring 37°C or 38°C likely reflects ensemble model spreads, urban heat-island amplification in the Yangtze River valley, and historical August extremes that occasionally exceed climatological averages of 31–35°C. Differentiation between these thresholds hinges on variables such as boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and diurnal heating rates, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C; ongoing model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation will determine whether the market resolves toward the current consensus or higher outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions