Trader consensus has converged on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on August 4 because official observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded a peak in that narrow range, consistent with National Weather Service data. Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, preventing the typical summer warming that would otherwise push readings into the low 80s. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for early August when coastal advection dominates, and the market-implied odds reflect the certainty of verified station data over broader regional forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or nonstandard measurement protocol could realistically alter the resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$57,330 Vol.
$57,330 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$57,330 Vol.
$57,330 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$889 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,250 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,060 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$11,241 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$13,076 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$9,700 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$9,891 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,793 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$996 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on August 4 because official observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded a peak in that narrow range, consistent with National Weather Service data. Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, preventing the typical summer warming that would otherwise push readings into the low 80s. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for early August when coastal advection dominates, and the market-implied odds reflect the certainty of verified station data over broader regional forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or nonstandard measurement protocol could realistically alter the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$57,330End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on August 4 because official observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded a peak in that narrow range, consistent with National Weather Service data. Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, preventing the typical summer warming that would otherwise push readings into the low 80s. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for early August when coastal advection dominates, and the market-implied odds reflect the certainty of verified station data over broader regional forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or nonstandard measurement protocol could realistically alter the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,330End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on August 4 because official observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded a peak in that narrow range, consistent with National Weather Service data. Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, preventing the typical summer warming that would otherwise push readings into the low 80s. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for early August when coastal advection dominates, and the market-implied odds reflect the certainty of verified station data over broader regional forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or nonstandard measurement protocol could realistically alter the resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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