Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 6, with a range of 27–32°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of isolated showers, aligning with the market’s narrow lead for that threshold. Seasonal outlooks from the same agency indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture and urban heat retention keeps 31°C and 33°C within close contention. Afternoon convection typical of the season can cap peaks below model guidance if showers develop early, while clearer periods allow readings to edge higher; traders therefore weigh the latest model runs and observational updates that refine peak timing and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
32°C 33%
33°C 33%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NEW
$36,108 Vol.
NEW
$36,108 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
33%
33°C
33%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
33°C 33%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NEW
$36,108 Vol.
NEW
$36,108 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$598 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,235 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,451 Vol.
4%
31°C
$4,348 Vol.
12%
32°C
$8,023 Vol.
33%
33°C
$6,145 Vol.
33%
34°C
$3,393 Vol.
17%
35°C
$3,053 Vol.
4%
36°C
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 6, with a range of 27–32°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of isolated showers, aligning with the market’s narrow lead for that threshold. Seasonal outlooks from the same agency indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture and urban heat retention keeps 31°C and 33°C within close contention. Afternoon convection typical of the season can cap peaks below model guidance if showers develop early, while clearer periods allow readings to edge higher; traders therefore weigh the latest model runs and observational updates that refine peak timing and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$36,108End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 6, with a range of 27–32°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of isolated showers, aligning with the market’s narrow lead for that threshold. Seasonal outlooks from the same agency indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture and urban heat retention keeps 31°C and 33°C within close contention. Afternoon convection typical of the season can cap peaks below model guidance if showers develop early, while clearer periods allow readings to edge higher; traders therefore weigh the latest model runs and observational updates that refine peak timing and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,108End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 6, with a range of 27–32°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of isolated showers, aligning with the market’s narrow lead for that threshold. Seasonal outlooks from the same agency indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture and urban heat retention keeps 31°C and 33°C within close contention. Afternoon convection typical of the season can cap peaks below model guidance if showers develop early, while clearer periods allow readings to edge higher; traders therefore weigh the latest model runs and observational updates that refine peak timing and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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