The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for August 7 calls for a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driven by a subtropical ridge, light winds, and typical late-summer insolation amid elevated humidity. This aligns with seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions, while climatological August highs average near 31–32°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 33–34°C because modest differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or urban heat-island effects at official stations can easily shift the recorded peak by one degree without major synoptic changes; reaching 35°C or higher would require stronger ridge dominance and suppressed convection, scenarios models currently rate as less probable before the daily maximum is officially logged. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 35%
33°C 31%
35°C 22%
36°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
31%
34°C
35%
35°C
22%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 31%
35°C 22%
36°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$29 Vol.
1%
30°C
$155 Vol.
1%
31°C
$149 Vol.
3%
32°C
$219 Vol.
7%
33°C
$194 Vol.
31%
34°C
$170 Vol.
35%
35°C
$372 Vol.
22%
36°C
$299 Vol.
10%
37°C
$374 Vol.
2%
38°C
$27 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for August 7 calls for a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driven by a subtropical ridge, light winds, and typical late-summer insolation amid elevated humidity. This aligns with seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions, while climatological August highs average near 31–32°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 33–34°C because modest differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or urban heat-island effects at official stations can easily shift the recorded peak by one degree without major synoptic changes; reaching 35°C or higher would require stronger ridge dominance and suppressed convection, scenarios models currently rate as less probable before the daily maximum is officially logged. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,127End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for August 7 calls for a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driven by a subtropical ridge, light winds, and typical late-summer insolation amid elevated humidity. This aligns with seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions, while climatological August highs average near 31–32°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 33–34°C because modest differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or urban heat-island effects at official stations can easily shift the recorded peak by one degree without major synoptic changes; reaching 35°C or higher would require stronger ridge dominance and suppressed convection, scenarios models currently rate as less probable before the daily maximum is officially logged. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,127End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s current forecast for August 7 calls for a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, driven by a subtropical ridge, light winds, and typical late-summer insolation amid elevated humidity. This aligns with seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions, while climatological August highs average near 31–32°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 33–34°C because modest differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or urban heat-island effects at official stations can easily shift the recorded peak by one degree without major synoptic changes; reaching 35°C or higher would require stronger ridge dominance and suppressed convection, scenarios models currently rate as less probable before the daily maximum is officially logged. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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