Forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum in Munich near 33–34°C on August 5, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and an elevated 850 hPa temperature anomaly of roughly +4–6°C above seasonal norms. Subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification separate the two leading outcomes, while the low probabilities attached to 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for further warming absent a sharper ridge or reduced evapotranspiration. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical August extremes and station-specific measurement protocols, recognizing that even small forecast shifts in afternoon dew-point or wind speed can tip the final recorded high between the tightly contested 33°C and 34°C brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 48%
34°C 42%
35°C 10%
32°C 4%
$58,272 Vol.
$58,272 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
48%
34°C
42%
35°C
10%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 42%
35°C 10%
32°C 4%
$58,272 Vol.
$58,272 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$4,283 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,248 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,878 Vol.
4%
33°C
$9,513 Vol.
48%
34°C
$8,736 Vol.
42%
35°C
$10,440 Vol.
10%
36°C
$8,595 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,396 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum in Munich near 33–34°C on August 5, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and an elevated 850 hPa temperature anomaly of roughly +4–6°C above seasonal norms. Subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification separate the two leading outcomes, while the low probabilities attached to 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for further warming absent a sharper ridge or reduced evapotranspiration. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical August extremes and station-specific measurement protocols, recognizing that even small forecast shifts in afternoon dew-point or wind speed can tip the final recorded high between the tightly contested 33°C and 34°C brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$58,272End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum in Munich near 33–34°C on August 5, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and an elevated 850 hPa temperature anomaly of roughly +4–6°C above seasonal norms. Subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification separate the two leading outcomes, while the low probabilities attached to 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for further warming absent a sharper ridge or reduced evapotranspiration. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical August extremes and station-specific measurement protocols, recognizing that even small forecast shifts in afternoon dew-point or wind speed can tip the final recorded high between the tightly contested 33°C and 34°C brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,272End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum in Munich near 33–34°C on August 5, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and an elevated 850 hPa temperature anomaly of roughly +4–6°C above seasonal norms. Subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification separate the two leading outcomes, while the low probabilities attached to 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for further warming absent a sharper ridge or reduced evapotranspiration. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical August extremes and station-specific measurement protocols, recognizing that even small forecast shifts in afternoon dew-point or wind speed can tip the final recorded high between the tightly contested 33°C and 34°C brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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