Recent Météo-France guidance points to a brief cooldown across the Île-de-France region, with a cooler air mass and largely clear overnight skies expected to lower minimum temperatures on August 7. Forecast lows cluster near 15–17 °C, but model spreads and subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that narrows the distribution toward 12–13 °C. Minimum temperature is governed by nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, local wind speed, and the dew-point depression; even a 1–2 °C shift in these variables can separate the leading market outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Paris-Montsouris reading, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates from Météo-France.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 7?
12°C 40%
13°C 36%
11°C 12%
16°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
12%
12°C
40%
13°C
36%
14°C
10%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
12°C 40%
13°C 36%
11°C 12%
16°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Vol.
5%
10°C
$37 Vol.
8%
11°C
$0 Vol.
12%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$15 Vol.
10%
17°C
$10 Vol.
1%
18°C
$10 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance points to a brief cooldown across the Île-de-France region, with a cooler air mass and largely clear overnight skies expected to lower minimum temperatures on August 7. Forecast lows cluster near 15–17 °C, but model spreads and subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that narrows the distribution toward 12–13 °C. Minimum temperature is governed by nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, local wind speed, and the dew-point depression; even a 1–2 °C shift in these variables can separate the leading market outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Paris-Montsouris reading, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates from Météo-France.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$97End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance points to a brief cooldown across the Île-de-France region, with a cooler air mass and largely clear overnight skies expected to lower minimum temperatures on August 7. Forecast lows cluster near 15–17 °C, but model spreads and subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that narrows the distribution toward 12–13 °C. Minimum temperature is governed by nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, local wind speed, and the dew-point depression; even a 1–2 °C shift in these variables can separate the leading market outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Paris-Montsouris reading, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates from Météo-France.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance points to a brief cooldown across the Île-de-France region, with a cooler air mass and largely clear overnight skies expected to lower minimum temperatures on August 7. Forecast lows cluster near 15–17 °C, but model spreads and subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that narrows the distribution toward 12–13 °C. Minimum temperature is governed by nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, local wind speed, and the dew-point depression; even a 1–2 °C shift in these variables can separate the leading market outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Paris-Montsouris reading, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates from Météo-France.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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