Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$378 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,213 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$411 Vol.
2%
24°C
$745 Vol.
7%
25°C
$1,023 Vol.
51%
26°C
$978 Vol.
36%
27°C
$377 Vol.
9%
28°C
$485 Vol.
2%
29°C
$539 Vol.
1%
30°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,598End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,598End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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