Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of around 14°C in London on August 7 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 14–15°C. Clearer nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end near 13°C, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic air mass would limit overnight heat loss and support 15–16°C readings. London’s urban heat island further buffers extremes compared with rural sites. With the forecast window closing rapidly, the next model runs incorporating updated pressure patterns and cloud trends will likely sharpen trader positioning on these narrow thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 7?
Lowest temperature in London on August 7?
14°C 29%
15°C 21%
13°C 15%
17°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
15%
14°C
29%
15°C
21%
16°C
8%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 29%
15°C 21%
13°C 15%
17°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
$11 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C
$10 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$37 Vol.
14%
18°C
$10 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of around 14°C in London on August 7 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 14–15°C. Clearer nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end near 13°C, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic air mass would limit overnight heat loss and support 15–16°C readings. London’s urban heat island further buffers extremes compared with rural sites. With the forecast window closing rapidly, the next model runs incorporating updated pressure patterns and cloud trends will likely sharpen trader positioning on these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$88End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of around 14°C in London on August 7 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 14–15°C. Clearer nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end near 13°C, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic air mass would limit overnight heat loss and support 15–16°C readings. London’s urban heat island further buffers extremes compared with rural sites. With the forecast window closing rapidly, the next model runs incorporating updated pressure patterns and cloud trends will likely sharpen trader positioning on these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of around 14°C in London on August 7 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 14–15°C. Clearer nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end near 13°C, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic air mass would limit overnight heat loss and support 15–16°C readings. London’s urban heat island further buffers extremes compared with rural sites. With the forecast window closing rapidly, the next model runs incorporating updated pressure patterns and cloud trends will likely sharpen trader positioning on these narrow thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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