**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6 centers on 27°C (54%) and 28°C (37%), reflecting consensus around typical subtropical summer overnight minima.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for the date projects a 27–33°C range under mainly fine conditions with light winds and low rain probability, consistent with seasonal norms for early August. Multiple models and extended forecasts align on nighttime lows near 25–27°C (77–81°F), driven by persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy or partly cloudy skies, and absence of strong synoptic cooling from fronts or typhoons. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, supporting the market’s tight clustering rather than cooler outliers. Recent observations show daily lows holding in the mid-20s Celsius amid hot, humid conditions, with no major model shifts or disruptive weather systems expected to alter the overnight minimum before resolution. This produces the observed probability distribution, where deviations below 26°C or above 28°C carry low implied odds due to climatological stability and current forecast consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
27°C 55%
28°C 33%
26°C 13%
24°C 3%
NEW
$18,438 Vol.
NEW
$18,438 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
55%
28°C
33%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
28°C 33%
26°C 13%
24°C 3%
NEW
$18,438 Vol.
NEW
$18,438 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$381 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,818 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,639 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,490 Vol.
13%
27°C
$2,657 Vol.
55%
28°C
$3,016 Vol.
33%
29°C
$4,151 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6 centers on 27°C (54%) and 28°C (37%), reflecting consensus around typical subtropical summer overnight minima.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for the date projects a 27–33°C range under mainly fine conditions with light winds and low rain probability, consistent with seasonal norms for early August. Multiple models and extended forecasts align on nighttime lows near 25–27°C (77–81°F), driven by persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy or partly cloudy skies, and absence of strong synoptic cooling from fronts or typhoons.
The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, supporting the market’s tight clustering rather than cooler outliers. Recent observations show daily lows holding in the mid-20s Celsius amid hot, humid conditions, with no major model shifts or disruptive weather systems expected to alter the overnight minimum before resolution. This produces the observed probability distribution, where deviations below 26°C or above 28°C carry low implied odds due to climatological stability and current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,438End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6 centers on 27°C (54%) and 28°C (37%), reflecting consensus around typical subtropical summer overnight minima.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for the date projects a 27–33°C range under mainly fine conditions with light winds and low rain probability, consistent with seasonal norms for early August. Multiple models and extended forecasts align on nighttime lows near 25–27°C (77–81°F), driven by persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy or partly cloudy skies, and absence of strong synoptic cooling from fronts or typhoons.
The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, supporting the market’s tight clustering rather than cooler outliers. Recent observations show daily lows holding in the mid-20s Celsius amid hot, humid conditions, with no major model shifts or disruptive weather systems expected to alter the overnight minimum before resolution. This produces the observed probability distribution, where deviations below 26°C or above 28°C carry low implied odds due to climatological stability and current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,438End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6 centers on 27°C (54%) and 28°C (37%), reflecting consensus around typical subtropical summer overnight minima.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for the date projects a 27–33°C range under mainly fine conditions with light winds and low rain probability, consistent with seasonal norms for early August. Multiple models and extended forecasts align on nighttime lows near 25–27°C (77–81°F), driven by persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy or partly cloudy skies, and absence of strong synoptic cooling from fronts or typhoons. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, supporting the market’s tight clustering rather than cooler outliers. Recent observations show daily lows holding in the mid-20s Celsius amid hot, humid conditions, with no major model shifts or disruptive weather systems expected to alter the overnight minimum before resolution. This produces the observed probability distribution, where deviations below 26°C or above 28°C carry low implied odds due to climatological stability and current forecast consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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