Trader consensus centers on 15–17°C for Cape Town’s peak temperature today because mid-winter conditions in the city’s Mediterranean climate typically produce daytime highs near the long-term August average of 16–17°C. The cool Benguela Current and light-to-moderate southerly winds limit daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and possible drizzle keep maxima from climbing much higher. Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model runs show a fine but cool pattern, with limited warming expected under the current steering flow. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, local urban heat-island effects, and minor forecast adjustments typical for coastal winter days when Atlantic moisture and wind shifts can shift the maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 5?
16°C 42%
17°C 38%
18°C 12%
15°C 9%
$29,084 Vol.
$29,084 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
9%
16°C
45%
17°C
38%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
17°C 38%
18°C 12%
15°C 9%
$29,084 Vol.
$29,084 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
9%
16°C
45%
17°C
38%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 15–17°C for Cape Town’s peak temperature today because mid-winter conditions in the city’s Mediterranean climate typically produce daytime highs near the long-term August average of 16–17°C. The cool Benguela Current and light-to-moderate southerly winds limit daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and possible drizzle keep maxima from climbing much higher. Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model runs show a fine but cool pattern, with limited warming expected under the current steering flow. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, local urban heat-island effects, and minor forecast adjustments typical for coastal winter days when Atlantic moisture and wind shifts can shift the maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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