Recent forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin strengthening the subtropical high and suppressing cloud cover amid peak summer urban heat island effects. These conditions align with historical August patterns where climatological highs of 33–35°C occasionally spike higher under clear, stable air masses, with limited model divergence supporting the current consensus. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 38°C and combined 82.5% for 37–39°C outcomes, incorporates this stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty from any late shifts in steering flow or localized convection that could cap or elevate extremes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
38°C 37%
37°C 27%
39°C 20%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
13%
37°C
27%
38°C
37%
39°C
20%
40°C
6%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
37°C 27%
39°C 20%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$549 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C
$42 Vol.
2%
35°C
$293 Vol.
3%
36°C
$5 Vol.
13%
37°C
$85 Vol.
27%
38°C
$46 Vol.
37%
39°C
$1 Vol.
20%
40°C
$57 Vol.
6%
41°C or higher
$1,705 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin strengthening the subtropical high and suppressing cloud cover amid peak summer urban heat island effects. These conditions align with historical August patterns where climatological highs of 33–35°C occasionally spike higher under clear, stable air masses, with limited model divergence supporting the current consensus. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 38°C and combined 82.5% for 37–39°C outcomes, incorporates this stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty from any late shifts in steering flow or localized convection that could cap or elevate extremes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,801End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin strengthening the subtropical high and suppressing cloud cover amid peak summer urban heat island effects. These conditions align with historical August patterns where climatological highs of 33–35°C occasionally spike higher under clear, stable air masses, with limited model divergence supporting the current consensus. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 38°C and combined 82.5% for 37–39°C outcomes, incorporates this stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty from any late shifts in steering flow or localized convection that could cap or elevate extremes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,801End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin strengthening the subtropical high and suppressing cloud cover amid peak summer urban heat island effects. These conditions align with historical August patterns where climatological highs of 33–35°C occasionally spike higher under clear, stable air masses, with limited model divergence supporting the current consensus. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 38°C and combined 82.5% for 37–39°C outcomes, incorporates this stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty from any late shifts in steering flow or localized convection that could cap or elevate extremes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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