Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Karachi hovering near 32–34°C on August 9 amid the ongoing monsoon season, with below-normal rainfall projected across Sindh potentially allowing greater daytime heating through reduced cloud cover. Model consensus highlights the interplay of high humidity, variable sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and any late-day convective activity as key variables that could cap or elevate the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns suggest a slight upward bias that aligns with market-implied odds clustering on 33°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 9?
33°C 42%
34°C 37%
32°C 16%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
42%
34°C
37%
35°C
10%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 37%
32°C 16%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$98 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$55 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2 Vol.
3%
31°C
$41 Vol.
4%
32°C
$58 Vol.
16%
33°C
$96 Vol.
42%
34°C
$69 Vol.
37%
35°C
$78 Vol.
10%
36°C
$42 Vol.
2%
37°C
$39 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$92 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Karachi hovering near 32–34°C on August 9 amid the ongoing monsoon season, with below-normal rainfall projected across Sindh potentially allowing greater daytime heating through reduced cloud cover. Model consensus highlights the interplay of high humidity, variable sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and any late-day convective activity as key variables that could cap or elevate the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns suggest a slight upward bias that aligns with market-implied odds clustering on 33°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$672End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Karachi hovering near 32–34°C on August 9 amid the ongoing monsoon season, with below-normal rainfall projected across Sindh potentially allowing greater daytime heating through reduced cloud cover. Model consensus highlights the interplay of high humidity, variable sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and any late-day convective activity as key variables that could cap or elevate the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns suggest a slight upward bias that aligns with market-implied odds clustering on 33°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$672End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Karachi hovering near 32–34°C on August 9 amid the ongoing monsoon season, with below-normal rainfall projected across Sindh potentially allowing greater daytime heating through reduced cloud cover. Model consensus highlights the interplay of high humidity, variable sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and any late-day convective activity as key variables that could cap or elevate the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns suggest a slight upward bias that aligns with market-implied odds clustering on 33°C and 34°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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