Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and descending easterly winds linked to Typhoon Dolphin, continues to elevate temperatures in the southeast as of early August 2026. Busan’s coastal location typically moderates peaks relative to inland sites like Yangsan through sea breezes, yet recent KMA data show highs in the upper 30s amid persistent tropical nights and high humidity. Short-range model consensus points to daytime maxima near 31–33 °C on August 9, with limited intensification risk before any frontal passage. These verified conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–32 °C, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and local boundary-layer mixing keeps lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or 34 °C+ viable until final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 9?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 9?
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
30%
32°C
32%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$178 Vol.
1%
28°C
$418 Vol.
2%
29°C
$47 Vol.
8%
30°C
$3 Vol.
14%
31°C
$70 Vol.
30%
32°C
$227 Vol.
32%
33°C
$29 Vol.
14%
34°C
$14 Vol.
3%
35°C
$21 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and descending easterly winds linked to Typhoon Dolphin, continues to elevate temperatures in the southeast as of early August 2026. Busan’s coastal location typically moderates peaks relative to inland sites like Yangsan through sea breezes, yet recent KMA data show highs in the upper 30s amid persistent tropical nights and high humidity. Short-range model consensus points to daytime maxima near 31–33 °C on August 9, with limited intensification risk before any frontal passage. These verified conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–32 °C, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and local boundary-layer mixing keeps lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or 34 °C+ viable until final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,537End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and descending easterly winds linked to Typhoon Dolphin, continues to elevate temperatures in the southeast as of early August 2026. Busan’s coastal location typically moderates peaks relative to inland sites like Yangsan through sea breezes, yet recent KMA data show highs in the upper 30s amid persistent tropical nights and high humidity. Short-range model consensus points to daytime maxima near 31–33 °C on August 9, with limited intensification risk before any frontal passage. These verified conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–32 °C, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and local boundary-layer mixing keeps lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or 34 °C+ viable until final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,537End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and descending easterly winds linked to Typhoon Dolphin, continues to elevate temperatures in the southeast as of early August 2026. Busan’s coastal location typically moderates peaks relative to inland sites like Yangsan through sea breezes, yet recent KMA data show highs in the upper 30s amid persistent tropical nights and high humidity. Short-range model consensus points to daytime maxima near 31–33 °C on August 9, with limited intensification risk before any frontal passage. These verified conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–32 °C, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and local boundary-layer mixing keeps lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or 34 °C+ viable until final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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