Persistent heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA warnings and recent 39°C readings in Busan on August 1, anchor trader sentiment around 33–35°C for the August 8 daily high. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest spread due to the strength of the subtropical ridge, variable cloud cover, and coastal sea breezes that can cap afternoon maxima near 34°C while allowing brief spikes higher inland. Typical August climatology for Busan centers on 29–31°C, but the current pattern supports elevated potential without strong precipitation signals through the weekend. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise KMA station observation amid ongoing heat advisories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 8?
34°C 33%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C
26%
36°C
15%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
29°C or below
$400 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$365 Vol.
4%
31°C
$154 Vol.
3%
32°C
$6 Vol.
9%
33°C
$93 Vol.
19%
34°C
$290 Vol.
33%
35°C
$14 Vol.
26%
36°C
$263 Vol.
15%
37°C
$24 Vol.
3%
38°C
$23 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA warnings and recent 39°C readings in Busan on August 1, anchor trader sentiment around 33–35°C for the August 8 daily high. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest spread due to the strength of the subtropical ridge, variable cloud cover, and coastal sea breezes that can cap afternoon maxima near 34°C while allowing brief spikes higher inland. Typical August climatology for Busan centers on 29–31°C, but the current pattern supports elevated potential without strong precipitation signals through the weekend. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise KMA station observation amid ongoing heat advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,692End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA warnings and recent 39°C readings in Busan on August 1, anchor trader sentiment around 33–35°C for the August 8 daily high. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest spread due to the strength of the subtropical ridge, variable cloud cover, and coastal sea breezes that can cap afternoon maxima near 34°C while allowing brief spikes higher inland. Typical August climatology for Busan centers on 29–31°C, but the current pattern supports elevated potential without strong precipitation signals through the weekend. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise KMA station observation amid ongoing heat advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,692End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA warnings and recent 39°C readings in Busan on August 1, anchor trader sentiment around 33–35°C for the August 8 daily high. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest spread due to the strength of the subtropical ridge, variable cloud cover, and coastal sea breezes that can cap afternoon maxima near 34°C while allowing brief spikes higher inland. Typical August climatology for Busan centers on 29–31°C, but the current pattern supports elevated potential without strong precipitation signals through the weekend. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise KMA station observation amid ongoing heat advisories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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