Current forecast models and recent observations indicate Shanghai's overnight lows will likely settle near 28–29°C on August 8 amid typical early-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 70–90%) limiting radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects retaining warmth. Historical baselines show average minimums of 25–26°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud-free nights have kept recent lows elevated around 26–28°C, narrowing the gap between the two leading market outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability unless a transient front or increased precipitation arrives, scenarios that could drop readings toward 27°C or hold them at 29°C. Traders are weighting the balance of these thermodynamic and synoptic factors against official station criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
29°C 42%
28°C 19%
27°C 7%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
42%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 42%
28°C 19%
27°C 7%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
5%
25°C
$21 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$87 Vol.
42%
30°C
$21 Vol.
3%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and recent observations indicate Shanghai's overnight lows will likely settle near 28–29°C on August 8 amid typical early-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 70–90%) limiting radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects retaining warmth. Historical baselines show average minimums of 25–26°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud-free nights have kept recent lows elevated around 26–28°C, narrowing the gap between the two leading market outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability unless a transient front or increased precipitation arrives, scenarios that could drop readings toward 27°C or hold them at 29°C. Traders are weighting the balance of these thermodynamic and synoptic factors against official station criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$174End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and recent observations indicate Shanghai's overnight lows will likely settle near 28–29°C on August 8 amid typical early-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 70–90%) limiting radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects retaining warmth. Historical baselines show average minimums of 25–26°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud-free nights have kept recent lows elevated around 26–28°C, narrowing the gap between the two leading market outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability unless a transient front or increased precipitation arrives, scenarios that could drop readings toward 27°C or hold them at 29°C. Traders are weighting the balance of these thermodynamic and synoptic factors against official station criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$174End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models and recent observations indicate Shanghai's overnight lows will likely settle near 28–29°C on August 8 amid typical early-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 70–90%) limiting radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects retaining warmth. Historical baselines show average minimums of 25–26°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud-free nights have kept recent lows elevated around 26–28°C, narrowing the gap between the two leading market outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability unless a transient front or increased precipitation arrives, scenarios that could drop readings toward 27°C or hold them at 29°C. Traders are weighting the balance of these thermodynamic and synoptic factors against official station criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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