Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in the low 30s°C for Chengdu on August 6, shaped by the ongoing East Asian summer monsoon that delivers high humidity and scattered convection across the Sichuan Basin. Persistent cloud cover and brief showers can suppress afternoon maxima by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Historical August baselines hover near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds adding slight upward bias on days without widespread precipitation. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble spreads on moisture and boundary-layer mixing will be the key variables traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
32°C 31%
33°C 23%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
NEW
$24,596 Vol.
NEW
$24,596 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
6%
32°C 31%
33°C 23%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
NEW
$24,596 Vol.
NEW
$24,596 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,030 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,263 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,064 Vol.
3%
30°C
$775 Vol.
6%
31°C
$4,355 Vol.
13%
32°C
$5,613 Vol.
31%
33°C
$5,702 Vol.
23%
34°C
$1,488 Vol.
11%
35°C or higher
$2,474 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in the low 30s°C for Chengdu on August 6, shaped by the ongoing East Asian summer monsoon that delivers high humidity and scattered convection across the Sichuan Basin. Persistent cloud cover and brief showers can suppress afternoon maxima by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Historical August baselines hover near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds adding slight upward bias on days without widespread precipitation. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble spreads on moisture and boundary-layer mixing will be the key variables traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$24,596End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in the low 30s°C for Chengdu on August 6, shaped by the ongoing East Asian summer monsoon that delivers high humidity and scattered convection across the Sichuan Basin. Persistent cloud cover and brief showers can suppress afternoon maxima by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Historical August baselines hover near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds adding slight upward bias on days without widespread precipitation. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble spreads on moisture and boundary-layer mixing will be the key variables traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,596End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in the low 30s°C for Chengdu on August 6, shaped by the ongoing East Asian summer monsoon that delivers high humidity and scattered convection across the Sichuan Basin. Persistent cloud cover and brief showers can suppress afternoon maxima by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Historical August baselines hover near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds adding slight upward bias on days without widespread precipitation. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble spreads on moisture and boundary-layer mixing will be the key variables traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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