Current forecast consensus from European and Met Office models points to a maximum near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Recent runs show modest warming from continental air advection and strong August insolation, tempered by marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so this represents a modest warm anomaly without extreme setup. Traders favor 25°C as the mode because small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any sea breeze could drop the daily high by 1°C, while drier subsidence would support 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend remains the key variable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
25°C 41%
26°C 34%
27°C 17%
24°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
10%
25°C
41%
26°C
34%
27°C
17%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 34%
27°C 17%
24°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$79 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$302 Vol.
10%
25°C
$285 Vol.
41%
26°C
$113 Vol.
34%
27°C
$100 Vol.
17%
28°C
$68 Vol.
3%
29°C
$146 Vol.
3%
30°C
$41 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and Met Office models points to a maximum near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Recent runs show modest warming from continental air advection and strong August insolation, tempered by marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so this represents a modest warm anomaly without extreme setup. Traders favor 25°C as the mode because small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any sea breeze could drop the daily high by 1°C, while drier subsidence would support 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend remains the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,335End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and Met Office models points to a maximum near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Recent runs show modest warming from continental air advection and strong August insolation, tempered by marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so this represents a modest warm anomaly without extreme setup. Traders favor 25°C as the mode because small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any sea breeze could drop the daily high by 1°C, while drier subsidence would support 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend remains the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,335End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from European and Met Office models points to a maximum near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Recent runs show modest warming from continental air advection and strong August insolation, tempered by marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so this represents a modest warm anomaly without extreme setup. Traders favor 25°C as the mode because small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any sea breeze could drop the daily high by 1°C, while drier subsidence would support 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend remains the key variable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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