Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF drive the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (54%) and 33°C (39.5%), reflecting stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation expected to cap the daily maximum near these values. Historical August averages for Tel Aviv hover around 30–32°C, placing the leading outcomes within one standard deviation of climatology with limited model spread for significant deviation. No major synoptic shifts or heat-wave signals appear in the latest runs, keeping higher or lower thresholds at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
32°C 54%
33°C 32%
31°C 6%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
54%
33°C
50%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 32%
31°C 6%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$25 Vol.
2%
30°C
$41 Vol.
2%
31°C
$35 Vol.
6%
32°C
$41 Vol.
54%
33°C
$61 Vol.
50%
34°C
$41 Vol.
4%
35°C
$40 Vol.
2%
36°C
$5 Vol.
3%
37°C
$111 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF drive the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (54%) and 33°C (39.5%), reflecting stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation expected to cap the daily maximum near these values. Historical August averages for Tel Aviv hover around 30–32°C, placing the leading outcomes within one standard deviation of climatology with limited model spread for significant deviation. No major synoptic shifts or heat-wave signals appear in the latest runs, keeping higher or lower thresholds at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$528End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF drive the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (54%) and 33°C (39.5%), reflecting stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation expected to cap the daily maximum near these values. Historical August averages for Tel Aviv hover around 30–32°C, placing the leading outcomes within one standard deviation of climatology with limited model spread for significant deviation. No major synoptic shifts or heat-wave signals appear in the latest runs, keeping higher or lower thresholds at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$528End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF drive the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (54%) and 33°C (39.5%), reflecting stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation expected to cap the daily maximum near these values. Historical August averages for Tel Aviv hover around 30–32°C, placing the leading outcomes within one standard deviation of climatology with limited model spread for significant deviation. No major synoptic shifts or heat-wave signals appear in the latest runs, keeping higher or lower thresholds at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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