Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a warming trend driven by high-pressure ridging, positioning daytime highs in Paris near 30°C on August 8 under largely clear skies. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 49.5% and 31°C at 28.5%, as current guidance shows a narrow range around these values amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Above-average conditions relative to the early-August climatological mean of 25–26°C stem from persistent southerly flow, though increasing uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or minor timing shifts in the ridge could favor slightly lower or higher peaks. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 8?
30°C 49%
31°C 29%
29°C 14%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
49%
31°C
29%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 49%
31°C 29%
29°C 14%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$55 Vol.
2%
28°C
$75 Vol.
4%
29°C
$53 Vol.
14%
30°C
$376 Vol.
49%
31°C
$87 Vol.
29%
32°C
$89 Vol.
7%
33°C
$6 Vol.
4%
34°C
$28 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a warming trend driven by high-pressure ridging, positioning daytime highs in Paris near 30°C on August 8 under largely clear skies. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 49.5% and 31°C at 28.5%, as current guidance shows a narrow range around these values amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Above-average conditions relative to the early-August climatological mean of 25–26°C stem from persistent southerly flow, though increasing uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or minor timing shifts in the ridge could favor slightly lower or higher peaks. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$794End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a warming trend driven by high-pressure ridging, positioning daytime highs in Paris near 30°C on August 8 under largely clear skies. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 49.5% and 31°C at 28.5%, as current guidance shows a narrow range around these values amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Above-average conditions relative to the early-August climatological mean of 25–26°C stem from persistent southerly flow, though increasing uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or minor timing shifts in the ridge could favor slightly lower or higher peaks. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$794End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a warming trend driven by high-pressure ridging, positioning daytime highs in Paris near 30°C on August 8 under largely clear skies. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 49.5% and 31°C at 28.5%, as current guidance shows a narrow range around these values amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Above-average conditions relative to the early-August climatological mean of 25–26°C stem from persistent southerly flow, though increasing uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or minor timing shifts in the ridge could favor slightly lower or higher peaks. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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