**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F bin (45.5% implied probability).** A sharp cooldown followed the August 3 record of 102°F, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns, increased patchy smoke reducing insolation, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation. Normal early-August highs near 89°F provide context, but model consensus and current observations favor suppressed maxima around 81–88°F. Traders appear to weigh these verified conditions and short-term stability over the next few hours, with limited upside risk for 90°F+ given the smoke and steering flow. Resolution hinges on official Denver-area station readings at the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 5?
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 6.1%
NEW
$29,375 Vol.
NEW
$29,375 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 6.1%
NEW
$29,375 Vol.
NEW
$29,375 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
$528 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,506 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$2,424 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$3,544 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$2,473 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$4,669 Vol.
43%
88-89°F
$5,799 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$3,395 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$2,332 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$1,296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F bin (45.5% implied probability).** A sharp cooldown followed the August 3 record of 102°F, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns, increased patchy smoke reducing insolation, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation. Normal early-August highs near 89°F provide context, but model consensus and current observations favor suppressed maxima around 81–88°F. Traders appear to weigh these verified conditions and short-term stability over the next few hours, with limited upside risk for 90°F+ given the smoke and steering flow. Resolution hinges on official Denver-area station readings at the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$29,375End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F bin (45.5% implied probability).** A sharp cooldown followed the August 3 record of 102°F, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns, increased patchy smoke reducing insolation, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation. Normal early-August highs near 89°F provide context, but model consensus and current observations favor suppressed maxima around 81–88°F. Traders appear to weigh these verified conditions and short-term stability over the next few hours, with limited upside risk for 90°F+ given the smoke and steering flow. Resolution hinges on official Denver-area station readings at the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,375End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F bin (45.5% implied probability).** A sharp cooldown followed the August 3 record of 102°F, driven by shifting high-pressure patterns, increased patchy smoke reducing insolation, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation. Normal early-August highs near 89°F provide context, but model consensus and current observations favor suppressed maxima around 81–88°F. Traders appear to weigh these verified conditions and short-term stability over the next few hours, with limited upside risk for 90°F+ given the smoke and steering flow. Resolution hinges on official Denver-area station readings at the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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