Official measurements from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground’s Buckley Space Force Base station established a daily maximum of 74–75°F in Denver on August 4, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Cooler-than-normal high pressure and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-summer average of 88–89°F, with observed temperatures aligning precisely with that narrow bin. Model runs and surface observations converged on this outcome well before market close, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unlikely post-hoc data correction or station-specific anomaly could shift the recorded high outside 74–75°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
74-75°F 100.0%
$49,775 Vol.
$49,775 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
74-75°F
100%
74-75°F 100.0%
$49,775 Vol.
$49,775 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
74-75°F
$9,470 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground’s Buckley Space Force Base station established a daily maximum of 74–75°F in Denver on August 4, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Cooler-than-normal high pressure and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-summer average of 88–89°F, with observed temperatures aligning precisely with that narrow bin. Model runs and surface observations converged on this outcome well before market close, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unlikely post-hoc data correction or station-specific anomaly could shift the recorded high outside 74–75°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$49,775End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground’s Buckley Space Force Base station established a daily maximum of 74–75°F in Denver on August 4, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Cooler-than-normal high pressure and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-summer average of 88–89°F, with observed temperatures aligning precisely with that narrow bin. Model runs and surface observations converged on this outcome well before market close, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unlikely post-hoc data correction or station-specific anomaly could shift the recorded high outside 74–75°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,775End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground’s Buckley Space Force Base station established a daily maximum of 74–75°F in Denver on August 4, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Cooler-than-normal high pressure and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-summer average of 88–89°F, with observed temperatures aligning precisely with that narrow bin. Model runs and surface observations converged on this outcome well before market close, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unlikely post-hoc data correction or station-specific anomaly could shift the recorded high outside 74–75°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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