Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 6?
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
NEW
$19,708 Vol.
NEW
$19,708 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
43%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
NEW
$19,708 Vol.
NEW
$19,708 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,868 Vol.
1%
30°C
$984 Vol.
1%
31°C
$777 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,128 Vol.
8%
33°C
$7,062 Vol.
25%
34°C
$3,088 Vol.
43%
35°C
$2,162 Vol.
18%
36°C
$952 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$1,479 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$19,708End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,708End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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