Latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models show Munich's August 8 maximum likely peaking near 29–30°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variable timing of peak insolation and potential for light afternoon convection, while climatological baselines for early August hover around 23–25°C. DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the exact high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 8?
30°C 42%
29°C 40%
31°C 15%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
40%
30°C
42%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 42%
29°C 40%
31°C 15%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$36 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$23 Vol.
3%
28°C
$8 Vol.
5%
29°C
$220 Vol.
40%
30°C
$84 Vol.
42%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$86 Vol.
2%
33°C
$5 Vol.
3%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models show Munich's August 8 maximum likely peaking near 29–30°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variable timing of peak insolation and potential for light afternoon convection, while climatological baselines for early August hover around 23–25°C. DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$481End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models show Munich's August 8 maximum likely peaking near 29–30°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variable timing of peak insolation and potential for light afternoon convection, while climatological baselines for early August hover around 23–25°C. DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$481End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models show Munich's August 8 maximum likely peaking near 29–30°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Minor model spread arises from variable timing of peak insolation and potential for light afternoon convection, while climatological baselines for early August hover around 23–25°C. DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the exact high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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