Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute project a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Helsinki on August 8, 2026, aligning with the seasonal decline from July peaks and typical early-August climatology (long-term average highs near 19–20°C). Recent model consensus shows stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting dry conditions and limited diurnal warming. Trader positioning—21°C at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C (27.5%) and 22°C (22.5%)—reflects this narrow forecast range and the low likelihood of outliers given current atmospheric patterns. Updated guidance closer to the date will determine final resolution against official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 8?
21°C 44%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
23°C 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
44%
22°C
23%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
23°C 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
44%
22°C
23%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute project a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Helsinki on August 8, 2026, aligning with the seasonal decline from July peaks and typical early-August climatology (long-term average highs near 19–20°C). Recent model consensus shows stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting dry conditions and limited diurnal warming. Trader positioning—21°C at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C (27.5%) and 22°C (22.5%)—reflects this narrow forecast range and the low likelihood of outliers given current atmospheric patterns. Updated guidance closer to the date will determine final resolution against official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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