Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and a humidex near 35, reflecting warm, moist air advection ahead of a frontal boundary. Ensemble models and recent guidance converge on peaks of 28–30°C, tempered by potential afternoon convection that could limit extreme readings, while climatological baselines for early August average highs around 26–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C, incorporates this forecast spread and typical model variability near land–lake boundaries, with lower odds on outliers driven by limited upside from humid conditions and overnight cooling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on August 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 6?
28°C 39%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
39%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 39%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$137 Vol.
1%
25°C
$168 Vol.
2%
26°C
$96 Vol.
3%
27°C
$174 Vol.
19%
28°C
$3,424 Vol.
39%
29°C
$357 Vol.
27%
30°C
$258 Vol.
11%
31°C
$268 Vol.
3%
32°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$67 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and a humidex near 35, reflecting warm, moist air advection ahead of a frontal boundary. Ensemble models and recent guidance converge on peaks of 28–30°C, tempered by potential afternoon convection that could limit extreme readings, while climatological baselines for early August average highs around 26–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C, incorporates this forecast spread and typical model variability near land–lake boundaries, with lower odds on outliers driven by limited upside from humid conditions and overnight cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,151End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and a humidex near 35, reflecting warm, moist air advection ahead of a frontal boundary. Ensemble models and recent guidance converge on peaks of 28–30°C, tempered by potential afternoon convection that could limit extreme readings, while climatological baselines for early August average highs around 26–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C, incorporates this forecast spread and typical model variability near land–lake boundaries, with lower odds on outliers driven by limited upside from humid conditions and overnight cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,151End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and a humidex near 35, reflecting warm, moist air advection ahead of a frontal boundary. Ensemble models and recent guidance converge on peaks of 28–30°C, tempered by potential afternoon convection that could limit extreme readings, while climatological baselines for early August average highs around 26–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C, incorporates this forecast spread and typical model variability near land–lake boundaries, with lower odds on outliers driven by limited upside from humid conditions and overnight cooling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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