**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 5 calls for sunny conditions after morning fog, with a daytime high of 29°C and humidex reaching 35 under southerly flow.** This aligns closely with the market’s top outcomes clustered at 28–30°C. Regional model consensus and recent upper-level ridging have supported above-normal warmth for early August in southern Ontario, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks projecting temperatures 1°C above average in parts of the east. Short-term guidance shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, keeping extremes below 27°C or above 31°C at low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will provide the final data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on August 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 5?
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 20%
27°C 4%
NEW
$14,123 Vol.
NEW
$14,123 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
25%
29°C
45%
30°C
20%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 20%
27°C 4%
NEW
$14,123 Vol.
NEW
$14,123 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$455 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$856 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,760 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,714 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$587 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,443 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,851 Vol.
45%
30°C
$1,202 Vol.
20%
31°C
$742 Vol.
3%
32°C
$767 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$745 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 5 calls for sunny conditions after morning fog, with a daytime high of 29°C and humidex reaching 35 under southerly flow.** This aligns closely with the market’s top outcomes clustered at 28–30°C. Regional model consensus and recent upper-level ridging have supported above-normal warmth for early August in southern Ontario, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks projecting temperatures 1°C above average in parts of the east. Short-term guidance shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, keeping extremes below 27°C or above 31°C at low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$14,123End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 5 calls for sunny conditions after morning fog, with a daytime high of 29°C and humidex reaching 35 under southerly flow.** This aligns closely with the market’s top outcomes clustered at 28–30°C. Regional model consensus and recent upper-level ridging have supported above-normal warmth for early August in southern Ontario, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks projecting temperatures 1°C above average in parts of the east. Short-term guidance shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, keeping extremes below 27°C or above 31°C at low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,123End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 5 calls for sunny conditions after morning fog, with a daytime high of 29°C and humidex reaching 35 under southerly flow.** This aligns closely with the market’s top outcomes clustered at 28–30°C. Regional model consensus and recent upper-level ridging have supported above-normal warmth for early August in southern Ontario, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks projecting temperatures 1°C above average in parts of the east. Short-term guidance shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, keeping extremes below 27°C or above 31°C at low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will provide the final data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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