Current forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models supports the market's heaviest weighting on an 88-89°F high for Miami on August 6, aligning with the August climatological average near 89°F and typical late-summer sea-breeze and convective patterns that cap daytime maxima. Persistent warmth following July 2026's second-hottest month on record has kept probabilities elevated for the 88-91°F range, while afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key variable that could suppress readings into the mid-80s. Updated National Weather Service short-term forecasts and final verification observations will resolve the market within the next 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 6?
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
77°F or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$146 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$156 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$736 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$270 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$3,405 Vol.
43%
90-91°F
$1,842 Vol.
17%
92-93°F
$128 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$270 Vol.
2%
96°F or higher
$64 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models supports the market's heaviest weighting on an 88-89°F high for Miami on August 6, aligning with the August climatological average near 89°F and typical late-summer sea-breeze and convective patterns that cap daytime maxima. Persistent warmth following July 2026's second-hottest month on record has kept probabilities elevated for the 88-91°F range, while afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key variable that could suppress readings into the mid-80s. Updated National Weather Service short-term forecasts and final verification observations will resolve the market within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,148End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models supports the market's heaviest weighting on an 88-89°F high for Miami on August 6, aligning with the August climatological average near 89°F and typical late-summer sea-breeze and convective patterns that cap daytime maxima. Persistent warmth following July 2026's second-hottest month on record has kept probabilities elevated for the 88-91°F range, while afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key variable that could suppress readings into the mid-80s. Updated National Weather Service short-term forecasts and final verification observations will resolve the market within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,148End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models supports the market's heaviest weighting on an 88-89°F high for Miami on August 6, aligning with the August climatological average near 89°F and typical late-summer sea-breeze and convective patterns that cap daytime maxima. Persistent warmth following July 2026's second-hottest month on record has kept probabilities elevated for the 88-91°F range, while afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key variable that could suppress readings into the mid-80s. Updated National Weather Service short-term forecasts and final verification observations will resolve the market within the next 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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