Current NWS and model guidance for Miami on August 6 indicate overnight lows near 79°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while convective outflow or cloud cover can nudge the daily minimum slightly higher or lower. The tight market clustering around 78–81°F reflects this narrow forecast spread and normal variability in boundary-layer moisture and timing of precipitation, consistent with August climatology where Miami minima rarely stray far from 78°F. Updated short-range model runs and local observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 6?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
67°F or below
$46 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$38 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$223 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$38 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$84 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$113 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$19 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$101 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$117 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$208 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and model guidance for Miami on August 6 indicate overnight lows near 79°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while convective outflow or cloud cover can nudge the daily minimum slightly higher or lower. The tight market clustering around 78–81°F reflects this narrow forecast spread and normal variability in boundary-layer moisture and timing of precipitation, consistent with August climatology where Miami minima rarely stray far from 78°F. Updated short-range model runs and local observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,018End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and model guidance for Miami on August 6 indicate overnight lows near 79°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while convective outflow or cloud cover can nudge the daily minimum slightly higher or lower. The tight market clustering around 78–81°F reflects this narrow forecast spread and normal variability in boundary-layer moisture and timing of precipitation, consistent with August climatology where Miami minima rarely stray far from 78°F. Updated short-range model runs and local observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,018End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS and model guidance for Miami on August 6 indicate overnight lows near 79°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling while convective outflow or cloud cover can nudge the daily minimum slightly higher or lower. The tight market clustering around 78–81°F reflects this narrow forecast spread and normal variability in boundary-layer moisture and timing of precipitation, consistent with August climatology where Miami minima rarely stray far from 78°F. Updated short-range model runs and local observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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