**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami of 78–81°F for August 5, aligning with the market’s tight distribution favoring 78–79°F (48.5%) and 76–77°F (39.5%).** Typical August climatology shows average daily lows near 78°F, rarely dropping below 74°F due to high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light variable winds, common in the current pattern, further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture near the surface. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on precise overnight conditions: clearer skies or slightly drier air could push the minimum toward 76–77°F, while persistent cloudiness and storm activity favor 78–79°F. With no major frontal systems or unusual drying expected, trader consensus reflects high confidence in near-normal outcomes supported by official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
78-79°F 49%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 5.5%
72-73°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 49%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 5.5%
72-73°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
$391 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$957 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$374 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$211 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,028 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$529 Vol.
44%
78-79°F
$1,334 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$457 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami of 78–81°F for August 5, aligning with the market’s tight distribution favoring 78–79°F (48.5%) and 76–77°F (39.5%).** Typical August climatology shows average daily lows near 78°F, rarely dropping below 74°F due to high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light variable winds, common in the current pattern, further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture near the surface. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on precise overnight conditions: clearer skies or slightly drier air could push the minimum toward 76–77°F, while persistent cloudiness and storm activity favor 78–79°F. With no major frontal systems or unusual drying expected, trader consensus reflects high confidence in near-normal outcomes supported by official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,887End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami of 78–81°F for August 5, aligning with the market’s tight distribution favoring 78–79°F (48.5%) and 76–77°F (39.5%).** Typical August climatology shows average daily lows near 78°F, rarely dropping below 74°F due to high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light variable winds, common in the current pattern, further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture near the surface. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on precise overnight conditions: clearer skies or slightly drier air could push the minimum toward 76–77°F, while persistent cloudiness and storm activity favor 78–79°F. With no major frontal systems or unusual drying expected, trader consensus reflects high confidence in near-normal outcomes supported by official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,887End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami of 78–81°F for August 5, aligning with the market’s tight distribution favoring 78–79°F (48.5%) and 76–77°F (39.5%).** Typical August climatology shows average daily lows near 78°F, rarely dropping below 74°F due to high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and light variable winds, common in the current pattern, further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture near the surface. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on precise overnight conditions: clearer skies or slightly drier air could push the minimum toward 76–77°F, while persistent cloudiness and storm activity favor 78–79°F. With no major frontal systems or unusual drying expected, trader consensus reflects high confidence in near-normal outcomes supported by official guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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